Some real quick methodology here. Just seven of his 64 targets came on throws over 10 yards downfield while 41 came at or behind the line scrimmage. Cooks and Mills connected on 71.1% of their targets with five touchdowns and a 101.6 rating while Cooks and Tyrod Taylor connected on 58.3% with one score and an 83.0 rating. JaMarr Chase scored the second-most fantasy points for a rookie wideout in league history, nearly running down Randy Moss in the record books with 81 catches for 1,455 yards and 13 touchdowns. Arizona has changed his role frequently during his tenure, but he will hit free agency here after posting a career-high 63 catches and 809 yards out of the slot in 2021. Chris Olave (22.2) Josh Palmer (22.9) Amari Cooper is coming off a season in which he once again battled injuries, producing his lowest per-game totals since joining the Cowboys with 6.9 targets, 4.5 catches, and 57.7 yards per game. Beckhams best bet is to likely take another discounted deal to stay with the Rams and try to contribute as the season progresses, but we will have to wait to see if that outcome exists for him. I am more than skeptical on Moores ceiling from a fantasy stance, but Moore still carries plenty of pedigree and raft capital to have increased usage in year two and find his way as a full-PPR contributor. Tyquan Thornton (22.1) A solid contributor, Boyds fantasy ceiling is now tied to either Chase or Higgins missing time. We finally had the breakout season we have been chasing from. Claypool remained stagnant to his rookie efficiency, posting nearly identical catch rates, yards per catch, reception, and yardage per game. Second-Year Breakout Candidates: Nico Collins (2022 Fantasy Football) Nico Collins commanded end-zone targets and high air-yard throws in 2021 but ultimately never put together a true. Samuel is still 26 years old and turned in WR36 and WR24 the previous two seasons while he will get a ton of steam from the community this season for those pursuing any potential of finding another Deebo at the position for fantasy after he led all wide receivers in touches in 2020 despite Scott Turner not fully utilizing Samuel as a dual-option during his time in Carolina. Smith (64-916-5) proved he can be lead receiver with a diverse route tree right away as he demonstrated in college. Then, he went on an all-time heater, catching 51 passes for 560 yards and five touchdowns (with a rushing score) over his final six games, posting five top-10 scoring weeks over that span. Dez Fitzpatrick (24.7) After finishing outside of the top-50 scorers in each of his first two seasons in the league, Hunter Renfrow shot up to WR10 overall last season (WR17 in points per game), catching 103 passes for 1,038 yards and nine touchdowns. Patrick was an older prospect, so he will be turning 29 years old this November, but is a steady contributor signed through 2024. Shepard has been a WR4 or better for fantasy in all six seasons, but he now missed 20 games the past three seasons. I personally was high on Terrace Marshall during the draft last year, but absolutely nothing went right for him over the past year to invoke confidence moving forward outside of hope. 2021 was a lost season for Curtis Samuel. A runway to more involvement exists, but the short term quarterback questions and offensive viability in Houston, in general, are sandbags. By Aaron Wilson August 8, 2022 Jump Around This Article Click to show Hopkins was able to stay afloat for fantasy weekly since he still scored eight times in 10 games. The silver lining is that he still received 110 targets (28th) and the Panthers gave him a contract extension before the season that has him still set up to be the WR2 in Carolina, but a major addition at quarterback is still required. It was clear that the Rams had a role for Jefferson this year as a vertical target in the offense, but he may be pressed to even further expand his game in Year 3 if injuries to both Woods and Odell Beckham prevent each from returning to the team or limit their availability. Christian Watson (23.6) Christian Kirk accounted for 30 of those targets, with the next highest player (DeAndre Hopkins) coming in at 12. In 2022 the quarterback class looks very weak, making him a great dynasty stash for 2022 and beyond. With the Bucs playing for a Super Bowl or bust, expect them to ensure Godwin is fully ready before forcing him onto the field. Parker still commanded a respectable 7.3 targets per game (30th) to provide a floor when on the field, a total he can hit moving to New England. A solid contributor, Boyds fantasy ceiling is now tied to either Chase or Higgins missing time. I believe Jefferson is slightly the better all-around receiver than Chase, but when splitting hairs at the top here, Chase has the bonus of playing the prime of his career alongside the ascension of Joe Burrow as a tie-breaker here, if forced to decide between one or the other. After posting 7.9 catches for 95.9 yards per game in his first season in Buffalo, Diggs made averaging 6.1 receptions for 72.1 yards per game feel somewhat disappointing to gamers despite still ranking 10th and 12th at his position in those categories. He fell in the draft due to medical concerns, Robby Anderson was extended, he played poorly and lost playing time as the season went on, and the offensive coordinator that he also had in college and likely vouched for his addition in the draft was fired. The 2021 season was an outright disaster for Allen Robinson. Kelce and Hill are still the players that dominate action in this offense. Jameson Williams (21.5). While we are still chasing a ceiling outcome, there is evidence that it does exist when conditions rise as Moore has finished eighth (2.17 yards) and 11th (1.93 yards) at his position in yards per team pass attempt the past two seasons while his runway to sustaining a high target share (he was eighth among wideouts with 9.6 targets per game) is still present. We offer recommendations from over 100 fantasy football experts! The first and obvious pro is that Thomas remained a target magnet. Jalen Tolbert (23.5) Through 11 games, St. Brown had 39 catches for 352 yards and zero touchdowns. A.J. Odell Beckham (29.8) Target him as a free agent add off waivers for Week 11 of the 2022 NFL season. Even with Davante Adams moving to Las Vegas from Green Bay, he is still a strong fantasy asset short term, even with the downgrade from Aaron Rodgers. Ashton Dulin (25.3) Corey Davis (27.6) Jerry Jeudy (23.4). Thielen will turn 32 this August, leaving those gamers still holding him to hopefully make one more touchdown-heavy drive into the sunset. After receiving 122 targets over his first two years in the league, Jakobi Meyers racked up 126 targets as the de facto WR1 in New England, catching 83 passes for 866 yards and two touchdowns. Allen Lazard is the most intriguing option here based on everything that has fallen this offseason in Green Bay. Shenault was mismanaged this season immediately following the injury to D.J. Tee Higgins (23.6). He had a groin injury in training camp that stunted the start of his season and limited him to just 84 offensive snaps all season. Initially, Collins's 2022 situation didn't look great. Khalil Shakir (22.6) Opportunity. It is worth noting how touchdown-heavy Evans has been during the Tom Brady years. If I am playing in a SuperFlex format I am perfectly willing to move a second-round pick for Jordan Love currently. With Russell Wilson now exiting Seattle, Metcalf has another immediate speed bump that can prevent him putting together locked-in WR1 production in 2022. The question remains on if his playing time elevation was out of necessity, or he made enough true growth in Year 2 that the organization noticed and are comfortable moving forward with as their secondary option behind Stefon Diggs, because we want attachment to Josh Allen and Davis has shown enough scoring upside to at minimal be a boom-or-bust touchdown-dependent WR3 if afforded that opportunity. Staying in Los Angeles, Williams is a true boom-or-bust WR2 with plenty of spike-week upside. The glass half empty case is that the Lions were stripped down primary playmakers in T.J. Hockenson and DAndre Swift for the chunk of the breakout while the team is surely not done adding more pass catchers this offseason and that six-game heater goes down as a fantasy tale we highlight as the best run of St. Browns career. Claypools rookie season touchdown total is more than enough to keep the lights on, but he also could be on an early-career Mike Williams trajectory where he ultimately becomes a volatile touchdown-dependent fantasy option. After a 61-631-4 season as a rookie on 98 targets, Mooney caught 81-of-140 targets for 1,055 yards and four touchdowns this past season and closed as the WR31 in points per game for fantasy. Not everything went poorly for the Bears last season as. Stefon Diggs was in a similar boat as Kupp last season. Allen Lazard (26.7) Business Unit Manager - Advanced Structures. Toney was pressed into action due to injuries in Week 4, where he caught 6-of-7 targets for 78 yards, forcing five missed tackles. Aiyuk played just 66% of the team snaps through six games, catching nine passes total over that span. Nico Collins. racked up 126 targets as the de facto WR1 in New England, catching 83 passes for 866 yards and two touchdowns. We still need Zach Wilson to make a jump in play to aid Moore breaking out as Moore and Wilson connected on just 19-of-42 targets (45.2%) while Moore secured 24-of-35 targets (68.6%) from other New York passers. Robby Anderson (29.3) Just 17.5% of Thomass career targets have come from passers other than Brees, but Thomas has remained a hyper-efficient target no matter who the quarterback has been. Weight 215. Chark (25.9) Our next tier has veteran wideouts with meat left on the bone of their careers, do not carry the same WR1 cache as the previous tier, but offer the ability to run hot in stretches and deliver spike weeks that can tilt weeks for gamers. Mecole Hardman (24.5) Tee Higgins also improved across the board in his second season, raising his yards per catch (14.7 yards), receptions (5.3) and yards (77.9) per game, catch rate (67.3%), and yards per target (9.9 yards) all from his rookie season. That player was Zach Pascal, who is no longer with the team while veteran T.Y. Since entering the league, Kyler Murray has completed 41.5% (34/82) of his passes of 30-plus air yards, highest rate in the league (league is 30.3%). Latest on Houston Texans wide receiver Nico Collins including complete game-by-game stats on ESPN. Adam Thielen (32.0) 2021 was no shortage of a nightmare for the Jacksonville offense as a whole while Shenault still accrued 100 targets, but he will now be on his third coaching staff in three years while the team is a strong bet to keep adding playmakers. The 2021 season was an outright disaster for. Prior to injury, we were getting more of the 2020 version of JuJu as he was averaging just 8.6 yards per catch and a paltry 4.6 yards per target. Brown gave us moments that reminded us of his upside when healthy with games 10-155-1, 8-133-1, 11-145-1, and a 5-142-1 in the playoffs, but he also had another seven full games played with fewer than 50 yards receiving. Brown teased us once again with the upside he holds in 2021. My 2022 season prediction for Collins: 68 receptions. Kenny Golladay (28.8) This tier of wideouts are better and more established players than the 9A and 9B tiers but are closing in on the age apex while nearly the entirety of the tier is coming off significant injuries or lackluster output. Through 11 games, St. Brown had 39 catches for 352 yards and zero touchdowns. The Giants have no choice contractually to go back to Golladay as a passing game asset and there is nowhere to go but up from last year in terms of quarterback play and offensive climate. Amari Rodgers (22.9) After jumping to WR22 in points per game in 2020. reached WR9 in that department in his third season, catching 107 passes for 1,161 yards and eight touchdowns. After opening the 2020 season with 90 or more yards in seven of his first eight games, Metcalf has hit that arbitrary mark in just four of 25 games since. Skyy Moore (22.0) Moore ended the year with 54 catches for 435 yards and one touchdown. Evans could find himself once again asked to do significant lifting for Tampa Bay in 2021 with Brown already gone, Chris Godwins status to be determined, and Rob Gronkowski a question mark that we believe is doubtful to return. This tier of wideouts has shown the capability to be premier WR1 options on a weekly basis over the start of their careers but have yet to put together that full fantasy campaign wire-to-wire just yet. Claypools lack of jump was not entirely Roethlisberger related, which is what makes him an intriguing case moving forward. After catching 72-of-109 targets for 786 yards for four touchdowns in 2020, Gage stepped up again this past season, securing 66-of-94 targets for 770 yards and another four scores. Elijah Moore (22.4) Justin Jefferson (23.2). Thanks for the read. . His season was limited to just 196 routes run, but Toney was targeted on 27.0% of those routes, a mark only bested by Antonio Brown, Cooper Kupp, Davante Adams, and A.J. He has done so with a plethora of quarterbacks over his career now, including showing a connection with rookie Davis Mills last year. Would love to hear your guys take on my DAWG - Nico Collins. Heading to Green Bay, Chrisitan Watson checks a lot of boxes in terms of size, athleticism, strong quarterback play, and opportunity, all things he needs to overcome an unflattering list of recent non-early-declare, non-Power 5 wideouts selected in the second round. was averaging 3.8 catches for 54.7 yards per game. Meyers accounted for 23.6% of the Patriot targets, something that will be put in jeopardy if they ever add a significant playmaker for Mac Jones. this offseason and what to do with him. Team W L T PCT PF PA; Jacksonville: 9: 8: 0.529: 404: . Jones averaged 11.4 yards per catch and 6.9 yards per target (his lowest rates since his rookie season), but nobody survived the Jacksonville offense last season. In the seven games that Waller missed or exited early, Renfrow averaged 7.1 catches for 79.9 yards per game as opposed to 5.5 catches for 48.8 yards per game otherwise. Nico Collins or Adam Thielen Who Should I Draft? Speaking of undervalued, Mike Evans just continues to get there every season. Quarterbacks, running backs, and tight ends can be found in those links while full overall dynasty rankings can be found here. 37.7% of Claypools targets last season were contested catches, which was sixth in the league. Joining the Browns, Cooper is set up to be a lead wide receiver while the Browns also just acquired Deshaun Watson. From a silver lining stance, Cooper still tied for the team-lead with eight touchdown receptions. Coming off an up-and-down 2021, Hill has shown he elevates all quarterbacks that he plays with, but also will have an offensive climate that was not entirely as strong as the one he is leaving behind in Kansas City. Michael Pittman (24.9) during the draft last year, but absolutely nothing went right for him over the past year to invoke confidence moving forward outside of hope. Allen Robinson (29.4) McLaurin was completely feast or famine, posting four top-10 scoring weeks on the year and finishing WR30 or lower in every other game with eight weeks as the WR50 or lower.McLaurin ranked 13th among wideouts in targets (130) in 2021, but just 62.7% were deemed catchable, the lowest rate of all wideouts to see 100 or more targets last season. Just 60.6% of Robinsons limited targets were deemed catchable (84th among wideouts) while posting 35 yards or fewer in 9-of-12 games. Just 47.4% of his targets were deemed catchable in his small sample of 2021 after 63.0% in 2020 (113th among wideouts with 25 or more targets) and 65.8% in 2019 (81st). Erik Ezuknma (22.6) After jumping to WR22 in points per game in 2020, Diontae Johnson reached WR9 in that department in his third season, catching 107 passes for 1,161 yards and eight touchdowns. Smith cleared six targets in a game just six times as rookie, posting nine weeks as the WR52 or lower as a byproduct. Julio Jones (33.6) Marvin Jones (32.5). Just 17.5% of Thomass career targets have come from passers other than Brees, but Thomas has remained a hyper-efficient target no matter who the quarterback has been. (2022) | FantasyPros Half PPR Rankings PPR Rankings Standard Rankings IDP Rankings FantasyPros Experts Sleeper Rankings Cheat Sheets Best. Aiyuk still only averaged 6.2 targets per game over that solid close to the season with four or fewer receptions in seven of those 11 games while Trey Lance offers a wide range of outcomes in terms of impact on the offense. Even with the loss of Brady, Evans should be in line for a significant target bump while we inherently know a Bruce Arians-led passing game will remain aggressive downfield. is a hot name in early offseason drafts with his potential to be a big winner should the Chargers not retain Mike Williams. CeeDee Lamb (23.4) Just 50.7% of Golladays targets were catchable (lowest rate in the league) while 41.3% of his targets were contested catches (the highest rate in the league). There is some overlap to actual player rankings, but these tiers do not always specifically follow the rankings. He has done so with a plethora of quarterbacks over his career now, including showing a connection with rookie Davis Mills last year. Green also gave us some spark in 2021, averaging 15.7 yards per catch and 9.2 yards per target with the Cardinals while giving us nine top-40 scoring weeks. Arizona has changed his role frequently during his tenure, but he will hit free agency here after posting a career-high 63 catches and 809 yards out of the slot in 2021. . Returning to Dallas was a best-case outcomes as he has to prove his health and upside again. Pittman has alpha qualities with a physical archetype, but he also plays in a run-first climate and was the only pass catcher on his roster a year ago that warranted any consideration. Shepard could be a candidate to be released and have a new home this offseason as he can save the Giants $4.5 million if released before June, and $8.5 million as a post-June 1 cut while the Giants will want to expand Kadarius Toneys role and are locked into Kenny Golladay. Texans wide receiver Nico Collins turning heads at camp, eyes big second NFL season Houston Texans second-year wide receiver Nico Collins is expected to have a much larger role in the offense after having his moments as a rookie last year. McLaurin was completely feast or famine, posting four top-10 scoring weeks on the year and finishing WR30 or lower in every other game with eight weeks as the WR50 or lower.McLaurin ranked 13th among wideouts in targets (130) in 2021, but just 62.7% were deemed catchable, the lowest rate of all wideouts to see 100 or more targets last season. Kupp will still be a heavy favorite to lead a receiving group that has a number of question marks outside of him with the injury to Robert Woods and shaky depth. DeVante Parker (29.6) Samuel produced a 77-1,405-6 line through the air to go along with 365 yards and eight touchdowns on the ground as he went from being forced to operating as the alpha receiver in the passing game early in the year with George Kittle out of the lineup and Brandon Aiyuk in the doghouse, to chipping in out of the backfield as the season pressed on due to the exposed lack of talented depth of the San Francisco backfield last season. Bryan Edwards (23.8) 2021 provided no further clarity on JuJu Smith-Schuster potentially bouncing back as he appeared in just five games due to a shoulder injury. There is still a lot of unknown surrounding, after he left the Falcons after appearing in five games this past season due to mental health issues and potentially not wanting to be a part of the team in the first place while he been suspended for the entire 2022 season due to gambling on games while away from the team. We now have a 50-game sample with Sutton over his career, producing seven WR1 scoring weeks with another five weeks as a WR2 and four as a WR3. 2023 R1 draft pick, 2023 R1 draft pick . Cooks closed as the WR22 in points per game (14.5), making him a top-24 scoring receiver per game in all but one of his eight seasons in the league. Dynasty Buy Lows Before the Trade Deadline. Jauan Jennings (25.1). Lifetime NFL playoffs record: 153-93 (62%), Copyright 2023 | Sharp Football Analysis, LLC, All rights reserved, full overall dynasty rankings can be found here, ill has shown he elevates all quarterbacks that he plays with, but also will have an offensive climate that was not entirely as strong as the one he is leaving behind in Kansas City, his asking price is still extremely rich as a top-48 dynasty player, I broke down all five of these prospects pre-draft here, I provided initial outlooks on their team landing spots here. Claypool remained stagnant to his rookie efficiency, posting nearly identical catch rates, yards per catch, reception, and yardage per game. Marvin Jones received 120 targets last year (23rd), but how static will that remain since he was not brought in by this regime? A veteran starter that can accrue points immediately based on where a current roster is and other times chasing more youth and upside for the future. Tyreek Hill (28.5) Mike Evans (29.0). If both do return, then Jefferson likely gets squeezed in-season. will be a talking point this offseason for anticipated regression coming off scoring the second-most points per game (25.9) for a wide receiver in league history, but even with recoil, he is in a strong position to sustain being a top-end fantasy option. I have mentioned before that Smith-Schusters early career reminds me a lot like Randall Cobb, where we have been chasing that early-career ride, but now we can finally officially gain clarity on how much the Pittsburgh passing game impacted his decline. It finally looked as if we were going to have our. Cole Beasley (33.3) Michael Gallup is the perfect buy low right now . fought through another injury-filled season, catching 40 passes for 515 yards and two touchdowns. These wideouts are in the same age bracket as the previous tier, but are your more volatile, splash-play-dependent wideouts over stacking target volume. Our Hail Mary dart throws to sell yourself on making a deep swing. A.J. After opening the 2020 season with 90 or more yards in seven of his first eight games, Metcalf has hit that arbitrary mark in just four of 25 games since. As a wide receiver who is not a burner and wins on the boundary, contested catches, and nuance, Hopkins comes with the fragility he may not age gracefully and last year was a warning sign to fully eject. If the Texans get another quarterback, the same explosion can occur. Danny Gray (23.5) From one player limited by quarterback play to another. Brandin Cooks was one of the best values last offseason and he delivered, catching 90-of-134 targets for 1,037 yards and six touchdowns. Mooney has limitations in becoming a full-fledged alpha (he was dead last in contested catch rate among qualifying receivers in 2021), but theres an easy path to seeing Mooney smoke everyone in this tier in the short-term target volume. Latest on Houston Texans wide receiver Nico Collins including news, stats, videos, highlights and more on ESPN . Nico Collins to miss another game Houston Texans WR Nico Collins (foot) did not practice all week and was ruled out for Week 16 on Thursday, Dec. 22. Tylan Wallace (23.3) Even if Odell Beckham returns, he will also be coming off a major injury. . As we begin to lay the foundation for the 2022 offseason, here we are going to lay out Dynasty positional tiers with a synopsis of those tiers. received 120 targets last year (23rd), but how static will that remain since he was not brought in by this regime? Boats and Throws traded: WR Nico Collins, HOU. There is still a lot of unknown surrounding Calvin Ridley after he left the Falcons after appearing in five games this past season due to mental health issues and potentially not wanting to be a part of the team in the first place while he been suspended for the entire 2022 season due to gambling on games while away from the team. Gage just turned 26 years old this past January. Toney was only able to appear in 10 games due to various injuries and managed more than 40 yards in just two games, but in the small sample of him receiving playing time while healthy, he jumped off the screen at his best. Back to some youth and upside, we are still trying to figure out what we have in this tier of young wideouts. My prospect model loved him coming out of college and all he has done is produce when called upon over his first two seasons in the league. Nico Collins (foot) will be placed on the team's injured reserve, ending his season. From that point on, Moore found the end zone just one more time, still leaving him with four or fewer touchdowns in each of his first four seasons. A.J. also gave us some spark in 2021, averaging 15.7 yards per catch and 9.2 yards per target with the Cardinals while giving us nine top-40 scoring weeks.